The Philippines Has Voted – Who Will Win the Power Game Next?

The ballots are in, and the Philippines just wrapped up its 2025 midterm elections. Over 68 million people stepped up to choose more than 18,000 officials, from senators to local leaders. But here’s the twist—while the voting is over, the real fight for power is just heating up. What happens next could shake the country’s future.


Data + Explanation :

I remember sitting by the radio back in 2022, listening to election updates with my family, hoping for change. This year, on May 12, 2025, history repeated itself with another big moment. The midterm elections saw millions of Filipinos heading to polling stations, casting votes in a process that ran smoothly according to the Philippine National Police. Early counts show familiar names leading, like former President Rodrigo Duterte, who’s poised to win the Davao City mayoral race despite being detained in The Hague for crimes against humanity. His daughter, Sara Duterte, and President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. are also in the thick of it, battling for Senate seats and influence.


The elections covered 12 Senate seats, all 317 House members, and thousands of local posts. Unofficial results from sources like Inquirer.net and Rappler suggest a close race, with Marcos allies holding their own but Duterte’s camp gaining ground. Overseas voting started April 13, and for the first time, internet voting was tested in 77 posts, showing how technology is creeping into this traditional process. With 74% of precincts reporting by midnight, the picture is still fuzzy, but the stakes are sky-high.


Analysis

Growing up in a small town, I’ve always felt the weight of political dynasties. This election feels like a family feud on steroids. Maria Ela Atienza, a political science professor at the University of the Philippines, calls it a “pivotal moment” that will shape 2028. I tend to agree. Duterte’s landslide in Davao, even from jail, shows his grip on supporters hasn’t weakened. Meanwhile, Marcos is fighting to keep his 2022 momentum alive. Some say disinformation campaigns, like those Reuters spotted in April, boosted the Dutertes after Rodrigo’s arrest. Others think voters are just tired of broken promises—Reymark Marquez, a voter, told NPR it’s about “choosing the right leaders,” not just names.

The Senate race is the real chessboard. If Duterte’s allies dominate, Sara could dodge her impeachment trial and stay in the presidential race. If Marcos holds firm, his agenda—think infrastructure and foreign ties—gets a lifeline. It’s a tug-of-war, and the outcome might not be clear for days.

Impact

This power struggle ripples beyond politics. For the average Filipino, it could mean better roads or more jobs if Marcos wins, or a return to Duterte’s tough-on-crime style if his family takes over. Investors are watching too. The peso’s been shaky, and a Duterte win might spook markets with his unpredictable past. Crypto and finance folks might feel it too—political stability affects blockchain projects on platforms like Solana, which are growing in the region. A volatile government could slow digital currency adoption, while a steady hand might encourage it. Local businesses in Davao are already buzzing about Duterte’s potential return, hoping for a tourism boost.


Bullet Points

  • Over 68 million voters participated, a record turnout.
  • Rodrigo Duterte leads Davao’s mayoral race with 63.3% of votes.
  • Senate results are tight, with 74% of precincts reported.
  • Internet voting debuted in 77 overseas posts, a first for the Philippines.
  • The outcome could influence the 2028 presidential election.


What do you think about this election drama? Will the Marcoses or Dutertes come out on top? Share your thoughts in the comments below, and follow Fenilix for daily updates on politics and more!

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